Predictions in the 2024 report
Evidence you can use
Predictions in the 2024 report
Historical snapshot: October 2024. Dates and populations are specified per row.
| Measure | Reported value | Definition and source |
|---|---|---|
| New forecasts | 10 | Predictions published in October 2024 for the following twelve months.2024 report, slide 205 (PDF page 206) |
| 2023 forecasts marked YES | 5 of 10 | Count of YES labels on the report’s retrospective scorecard.2024 report, slide 10 (PDF page 11) |
| Other 2023 scorecard labels | 3 NO; 2 partial or unresolved | Literal categories in the published scorecard; not independently reassessed here.2024 report, slide 10 (PDF page 11) |
The ten forecasts below retain their original wording, with typography normalized. Retrospective counts are transcribed from the 2024 report’s scorecard. This archive does not silently grade the 2024 forecasts using later evidence.
Sources and dates
Historical snapshot published October 10, 2024. This web edition was prepared on October 10, 2026 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.
- 2024 report, slide 10 (PDF page 11)Original 2024 report. Printed slide numbers are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
- 2024 report, slide 205 (PDF page 206)Original 2024 report. Printed slide numbers are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
- State of AI Report 2024: online slides
- Nathan Benaich: The State of AI Report 2024Air Street Press, October 10, 2024.
- Welcome to State of AI Report 2024Original website launch post, October 10, 2024.
Cite this page
Benaich, Nathan. “Predictions in the 2024 report.” State of AI Report 2024. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-10.