{
  "title": "Predictions in the 2024 report",
  "report_year": 2024,
  "period": "Historical snapshot: October 2024. Dates and populations are specified per row.",
  "methodology": "The ten forecasts below retain their original wording, with typography normalized. Retrospective counts are transcribed from the 2024 report’s scorecard. This archive does not silently grade the 2024 forecasts using later evidence.",
  "source_deck": "https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1GmZmoWOa2O92BPrncRcTKa15xvQGhq7g4I4hJSNlC0M/edit",
  "web_edition_date": "2026-10-10",
  "rows": [
    {
      "measure": "New forecasts",
      "value": "10",
      "definition": "Predictions published in October 2024 for the following twelve months.",
      "printed_slide": 205,
      "pdf_page": 206,
      "source_url": "https://www.stateof.ai/State-of-AI-Report-2024.pdf#page=206"
    },
    {
      "measure": "2023 forecasts marked YES",
      "value": "5 of 10",
      "definition": "Count of YES labels on the report’s retrospective scorecard.",
      "printed_slide": 10,
      "pdf_page": 11,
      "source_url": "https://www.stateof.ai/State-of-AI-Report-2024.pdf#page=11"
    },
    {
      "measure": "Other 2023 scorecard labels",
      "value": "3 NO; 2 partial or unresolved",
      "definition": "Literal categories in the published scorecard; not independently reassessed here.",
      "printed_slide": 10,
      "pdf_page": 11,
      "source_url": "https://www.stateof.ai/State-of-AI-Report-2024.pdf#page=11"
    }
  ]
}