All topicsSTATE OF AI REPORT. 2022

AI tackles protein structures and plasma control

The 2022 report showed AI becoming useful across scientific domains. AlphaFold predictions expanded dramatically, and reinforcement learning controlled plasma in a research tokamak. These advances also increased the need to check whether machine-learning methods supported the scientific claims being made.

Questions in this section

What did the 200 million AlphaFold structures mean?Did AI solve nuclear fusion in 2022?Were AlphaFold’s approximately 200 million structures experimentally measured?What did the more-than-500,000-user figure describe?Where was the reinforcement-learning plasma controller tested?Why did the plasma-control result fall short of solving fusion energy?What is data leakage in a scientific ML experiment?What did the BioNTech and InstaDeep variant-warning system show?

Predicted protein structures become widely available

AlphaFold’s database expanded to around 200 million predicted structures. The report emphasized that the downstream benefits would take years to emerge. A predicted structure could guide a research question without being equivalent to an experimentally measured structure or a successful therapeutic intervention.

Predicted protein structures become widely available - 2022 report, slide 16
Predicted protein structures become widely available. 2022 report, slide 16 (PDF page 16)

Reinforcement learning controls plasma in a tokamak

DeepMind trained a system in simulation and deployed it to adjust magnetic coils in Lausanne’s TCV tokamak. The result demonstrated flexible plasma control in that device. It was not a demonstration of commercial fusion power or a solution to every engineering challenge in fusion.

Reinforcement learning controls plasma in a tokamak - 2022 report, slide 15
Reinforcement learning controls plasma in a tokamak. 2022 report, slide 15 (PDF page 15)

Data leakage threatens scientific conclusions

The report warned that information unavailable in a real prediction setting can leak into training or evaluation. This can make a model appear successful while undermining the scientific claim. Strong-looking results therefore required careful attention to how data were collected and separated.

Data leakage threatens scientific conclusions - 2022 report, slide 20
Data leakage threatens scientific conclusions. 2022 report, slide 20 (PDF page 20)

Protein language models were used to assess new viral variants

BioNTech and InstaDeep built an Early Warning System using a protein language model to assess viral spike sequences. In the validation described by the report, it identified all 16 WHO-designated variants an average of more than one and a half months before their official designation. This was evidence for prioritizing potentially risky variants from sequence data, with the result tied to the variants and validation period examined.

Protein language models were used to assess new viral variants - 2022 report, slide 65
Protein language models were used to assess new viral variants. 2022 report, slide 65 (PDF page 65)

Evidence you can use

AI for science in the 2022 report

Historical snapshot: October 2022. Dates and populations are specified per row.

AI for science in the 2022 report
MeasureReported valueDefinition and source
AlphaFold predicted structuresApproximately 200MPredicted structures in the expanded database, not experimental determinations.2022 report, slide 16 (PDF page 16)
Reported database usersMore than 500,000Researchers who had used the database in the report’s account.2022 report, slide 16 (PDF page 16)
Plasma-control deploymentTCV tokamak, LausanneSpecific experimental device used for the reinforcement-learning demonstration.2022 report, slide 15 (PDF page 15)

Predicted structures and database usage do not measure discoveries or clinical benefits. Plasma control in one device does not establish net-energy fusion. Data leakage can invalidate apparently strong evaluations.

Frequently asked questions

Sources and dates

Historical snapshot published October 11, 2022. This web edition was prepared on 2026-10-11 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.

  1. 2022 report, slide 15 (PDF page 15)Original 2022 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF pages.
  2. 2022 report, slide 16 (PDF page 16)Original 2022 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF pages.
  3. 2022 report, slide 20 (PDF page 20)Original 2022 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF pages.
  4. 2022 report, slide 65 (PDF page 65)Original 2022 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF pages.
  5. State of AI Report 2022: online slides
  6. Air Street Press launch essayOctober 11, 2022.
  7. Welcome to State of AI Report 2022Original website launch post, October 11, 2022.

Cite this page

Benaich, Nathan, and Ian Hogarth. “AI tackles protein structures and plasma control.” State of AI Report 2022. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-11.