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Different kinds of robotics evidence

By Nathan Benaich (Air Street Capital) · 2025 report

Evidence you can use

Different kinds of robotics evidence

2025 report snapshot

Different kinds of robotics evidence
MeasureReported valueDefinition and source
Molmo-ActPlan before controlIntermediate visual and geometric artifacts2025 report, slide 79 (PDF page 80)
Waymo71 million rider-only milesCumulative through March 20252025 report, slide 173 (PDF page 174)
HumanoidsMostly pilots and research purchasesReport assessment of deployment maturity2025 report, slide 174 (PDF page 175)

This table compares types of evidence, not a common performance benchmark. Driverless mileage does not establish general manipulation ability, and an inspectable action plan does not establish reliable full-task completion.

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Sources and dates

Historical snapshot published October 9, 2025. This web edition was prepared on October 10, 2026 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.

  1. 2025 report, slide 77 (PDF page 78)Original 2025 report. Slide numbers printed in the deck are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
  2. 2025 report, slide 78 (PDF page 79)Original 2025 report. Slide numbers printed in the deck are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
  3. 2025 report, slide 79 (PDF page 80)Original 2025 report. Slide numbers printed in the deck are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
  4. 2025 report, slide 172 (PDF page 173)Original 2025 report. Slide numbers printed in the deck are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
  5. 2025 report, slide 173 (PDF page 174)Original 2025 report. Slide numbers printed in the deck are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
  6. 2025 report, slide 174 (PDF page 175)Original 2025 report. Slide numbers printed in the deck are one lower than PDF page numbers because the cover is unnumbered.
  7. State of AI Report 2025: online slides
  8. Nathan Benaich: The State of AI Report 2025Air Street Press, October 9, 2025.
  9. Welcome to State of AI Report 2025Original website launch post, October 9, 2025.

Cite this page

Benaich, Nathan. “Different kinds of robotics evidence.” State of AI Report 2025. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-10.