How to read this finding
Forecasts are prospective statements, not observed results. Preserve every threshold, named condition, and time window when grading. Original spelling is retained; PDF line wrapping and typographic ligatures are normalized.
What did the 2021 report predict?
The forecasts followed transformers, scientific discovery, semiconductor consolidation, and the formation of new research companies. It published 8 forecasts for the next twelve months; the complete original list appears on the predictions topic page.
Evidence you can use
Predictions in the 2021 report
Historical snapshot: October 2021. Dates and populations are specified per row.
| Measure | Reported value | Definition and source |
|---|---|---|
| Number of original forecasts | 8 | Count of the numbered predictions on the source slide.2021 report, slide 183 (PDF page 183) |
| Forecast horizon | Next 12 months | Horizon stated on the original prediction slide.2021 report, slide 183 (PDF page 183) |
Forecasts are prospective statements, not observed results. Preserve every threshold, named condition, and time window when grading. Original spelling is retained; PDF line wrapping and typographic ligatures are normalized.
Sources and dates
Historical snapshot published October 12, 2021. This web edition was prepared on 2026-10-11 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.
- 2021 report, slide 183 (PDF page 183)Original 2021 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF pages.
- State of AI Report 2021: online slides
- Air Street Press launch essayOctober 12, 2021.
- Welcome to State of AI Report 2021Original website launch post, October 12, 2021.
Cite this page
Benaich, Nathan, and Ian Hogarth. “What did the 2021 report predict?” State of AI Report 2021. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-11.