The ten forecasts covered generative media, election misuse, self-improving agents, AI IPOs, billion-dollar training, competition investigations, governance, GPU financing, AI music, and inference chips.
The ten forecasts below preserve the original wording, including the original phrasing of the election prediction, with typography normalized. Scorecard counts are transcribed from the 2023 report; later outcomes are not silently substituted.
Evidence you can use
Historical snapshot: October 2023. Dates and populations are specified per row.
| Measure | Reported value | Definition and source |
|---|---|---|
| New forecasts | 10 | Predictions published in October 2023 for the following twelve months.2023 report, slide 157 (PDF page 157) |
| 2022 forecasts marked YES | 5 of 9 | Count of YES labels in the 2023 report’s retrospective scorecard.2023 report, slide 10 (PDF page 10) |
| Other 2022 scorecard labels | 3 NO; 1 partial | Remaining categories in the published scorecard, not independently reassessed here.2023 report, slide 10 (PDF page 10) |
The ten forecasts below preserve the original wording, including the original phrasing of the election prediction, with typography normalized. Scorecard counts are transcribed from the 2023 report; later outcomes are not silently substituted.
Historical snapshot published October 12, 2023. This web edition was prepared on October 10, 2026 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.
Benaich, Nathan. “What did the 2023 State of AI Report predict?.” State of AI Report 2023. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-10.