Predictions in the 2023 report
Evidence you can use
Predictions in the 2023 report
Historical snapshot: October 2023. Dates and populations are specified per row.
| Measure | Reported value | Definition and source |
|---|---|---|
| New forecasts | 10 | Predictions published in October 2023 for the following twelve months.2023 report, slide 157 (PDF page 157) |
| 2022 forecasts marked YES | 5 of 9 | Count of YES labels in the 2023 report’s retrospective scorecard.2023 report, slide 10 (PDF page 10) |
| Other 2022 scorecard labels | 3 NO; 1 partial | Remaining categories in the published scorecard, not independently reassessed here.2023 report, slide 10 (PDF page 10) |
The ten forecasts below preserve the original wording, including the original phrasing of the election prediction, with typography normalized. Scorecard counts are transcribed from the 2023 report; later outcomes are not silently substituted.
Sources and dates
Historical snapshot published October 12, 2023. This web edition was prepared on October 10, 2026 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.
- 2023 report, slide 10 (PDF page 10)Original 2023 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF page numbers in this edition.
- 2023 report, slide 157 (PDF page 157)Original 2023 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF page numbers in this edition.
- State of AI Report 2023: online slides
- Nathan Benaich: The State of AI Report 2023Air Street Press, October 12, 2023.
- Welcome to State of AI Report 2023Original website launch post, October 12, 2023.
Cite this page
Benaich, Nathan. “Predictions in the 2023 report.” State of AI Report 2023. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-10.