How to read this finding
Forecasts are prospective statements, not observed results. Preserve every threshold, named condition, and time window when grading. Original spelling is retained; PDF line wrapping and typographic ligatures are normalized.
What did the 2022 report predict?
The forecasts anticipated further model and data scaling, generative audio, investment, and the governance of powerful AI labs. It published 9 forecasts for the next twelve months; the complete original list appears on the predictions topic page.
Evidence you can use
Predictions in the 2022 report
Historical snapshot: October 2022. Dates and populations are specified per row.
| Measure | Reported value | Definition and source |
|---|---|---|
| Number of original forecasts | 9 | Count of the numbered predictions on the source slide.2022 report, slide 108 (PDF page 108) |
| Forecast horizon | Next 12 months | Horizon stated on the original prediction slide.2022 report, slide 108 (PDF page 108) |
Forecasts are prospective statements, not observed results. Preserve every threshold, named condition, and time window when grading. Original spelling is retained; PDF line wrapping and typographic ligatures are normalized.
Sources and dates
Historical snapshot published October 11, 2022. This web edition was prepared on 2026-10-11 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.
- 2022 report, slide 108 (PDF page 108)Original 2022 report. Printed slide numbers match PDF pages.
- State of AI Report 2022: online slides
- Air Street Press launch essayOctober 11, 2022.
- Welcome to State of AI Report 2022Original website launch post, October 11, 2022.
Cite this page
Benaich, Nathan, and Ian Hogarth. “What did the 2022 report predict?” State of AI Report 2022. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-11.