How to read this finding
Forecasts are prospective statements, not observed results. Preserve every threshold, named condition, and time window when grading. Original spelling is retained; PDF line wrapping and typographic ligatures are normalized.
What did the 2020 report predict?
The pandemic-year forecasts covered model scale, vision transformers, drug discovery, defense startups, and the proposed NVIDIA-Arm deal. It published 8 forecasts for the next twelve months; the complete original list appears on the predictions topic page.
Evidence you can use
Predictions in the 2020 report
Historical snapshot: October 2020. Dates and populations are specified per row.
| Measure | Reported value | Definition and source |
|---|---|---|
| Number of original forecasts | 8 | Count of the numbered predictions on the source slide.2020 report, PDF page 172 |
| Forecast horizon | Next 12 months | Horizon stated on the original prediction slide.2020 report, PDF page 172 |
Forecasts are prospective statements, not observed results. Preserve every threshold, named condition, and time window when grading. Original spelling is retained; PDF line wrapping and typographic ligatures are normalized.
Sources and dates
Historical snapshot published October 1, 2020. This web edition was prepared on 2026-10-11 from the online deck and original launch posts. Findings and forecasts retain their original time frame.
- 2020 report, PDF page 172Original 2020 report. This edition has no printed slide numbers. References use one-based PDF pages.
- State of AI Report 2020: online slides
- Nathan Benaich’s launch essayOctober 1, 2020.
Cite this page
Benaich, Nathan, and Ian Hogarth. “What did the 2020 report predict?” State of AI Report 2020. Historical report snapshot; web edition prepared 2026-10-11.